So, before the media starts talking about how terribly the Labor Party performed and tries to start leadership speculation about Shorten, let’s see this for what it is: a massive wake-up call for Scott Morrison. Unfortunately for him, his speech last night suggested he intended to just keep hitting the snooze button.
The Wentworth byelection is the testing ground of one of the main tenets of the federal Liberal party’s thought leadership – and one that Malcolm Turnbull pushed back on during his term – that we need to attract the disenchanted rightwing vote.
The view held by some in the party is that the emergence of independent conservative parties have stolen our vote and we need to court them back. The internal counter-argument is – well, yes, but you will lose the rest of the country.
Australia is just not America, as much as some wish it was.
The Australian Conservatives have not gone off like fireworks and One Nation polls on a national average that is consistently below the Greens. Does that mean we have more environmentalists than conservatives?
When Right or Wrong don’t matter nor what’s best for the country. Only the game and their jobs is what matters. (ODT)
Queensland Liberals have warned colleagues considering voting to refer Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton to the High Court that they could send the government to the gallows early by setting up a devastating byelection in his seat of Dickson.
Ian Macdonald, the longest-serving person in Parliament, said a byelection in that seat “wouldn’t be easy to win” and the prospect of the Morrison government losing its majority should weigh firmly on MPs’ minds ahead of a likely referral vote next week
The Coalition has taken a battering in the polls since ousting Malcolm Turnbull as prime minister, and it’s not just their popularity that’s suffered.
Buried truth leaves a party throwing dead moggies on the table, Immigration, Climate Change, Gender etc.(ODT)
But maybe not. Back then, 5.3% ranked equal sixth lowest out of the 35 wealthy member countries of the Organisation for Economic Development and Cooperation (OECD). In November 2012, Germany and Australia both had 5.3% of their workforce unemployed. Only South Korea, Switzerland, Norway, Japan and Mexico had lower jobless rates.
Today, four years into the strongest global boom in trade, jobs and profits in decades, 5.3% ranks 18th. That is in the bottom half of the table. Thirteen countries now have their jobless rate below 4.0%.
If Australia still ranked sixth in the OECD, its rate would be 3.5% and another 243,000 Australians would be off welfare and earning a salary
The Coalition faces the prospect of fighting a snap election with a severely depleted bank account and a raft of seats still without a Liberal candidate, compared to a cashed-up and energised Australian Labor Party.
A besieged Malcolm Turnbull said Australian voters “will be crying out for an election” following tumult over the prime ministership.
Dutton is a reliable buffoon always guaranteed to trip up (ODT)
Network 10 on Monday night reported Mr Dutton could be in breach of the constitution, which rules ineligible anyone who “has any direct or indirect pecuniary interest in any agreement with the Public Service of the Commonwealth”.
Mr Dutton’s register of financial interests shows he is a beneficiary of the RHT Family Trust, alongside his wife. The trust owns his wife’s company, RHT Investments, which runs two childcare centres in Brisbane: Bald Hills and Camelia Avenue.
Since July 2, the centres have been receiving direct financial subsidies from the Commonwealth government, according to the Network 10 report. The trust of which Mr Dutton is a beneficiary profits from the childcare centres, giving rise to a potential breach of section 44.
He had got his National Energy Guarantee (NEG) past his colleagues by a healthy margin; for all intents and purposes, his approach on energy policy had been endorsed.
But if war teaches you anything, it is that numbers do not count in an insurgency.
Mr Turnbull is now the target of full-blown guerrilla warfare.
The insurgents may have varying endgames, but their first ambition is clear: to kill off Malcolm Turnbull’s leadership.
Obviously Andrew Bolt hasn’t the inside rail when it comes to what’s going on in politics. While he flounders with “unnamed conservatives” and “rumours” the Fairfax papers don’t and aren’t afraid to name those men Bolt prefers to keep hidden (ODT)
Abbott still suffers from the wounds inflicted on him when Malcolm Turnbull toppled him as prime minister in September 2015, which means the pain from the past shapes the Liberal Party’s looming decision over its future.
If Turnbull moves further Right they will definitely lose the next election this was a vote for the ALP Right because there was no other alternative. Had the ALP been further Left than they are now the margin would have been even greater. So bring back Abbott for the left’s sake. (ODT)
The result in Longman (and Braddon, and Perth, and Fremantle and Mayo) is a repudiation of Turnbull and the Liberal party who have thrown everything at Shorten over recent weeks and vastly outspent the Labor party. As prime minister, having put his leadership squarely on the line, his position as leader is now untenable and if he places his future in the hands of his colleagues we can expect him to be dumped and that will give us Peter Dutton and the Abbott rabble followed closely and inevitably by the demise of the Liberal party.
Australians said an Emphatic “No” to the LNP’s Drift Back to Abbott’s Right-Wing White Pacific Dream. This was a “No” to Right-Wing Drift of Turnbull’s LNP Policies, Media Influence and intrusion, IPA Lobbying and benefiting of the few who only believe in the “me” and not the collective “we”who make up this multicultural country called AUSTRALIA that was also a proud global team player. (ODT)
Labor has secured a major victory over the Turnbull government in a marathon political contest across five byelections, gaining ground in key seats in a show of strength ahead of the next general election.
Labor held its four electorates while the Coalition failed to regain one of its old strongholds, in an outcome that dashed government hopes of turning the tables on its rivals.
A Victorian ReachTEL poll for The Age, conducted July 5 from a sample of 1,500, gave Labor a 51-49 lead. Primary votes were 39.4% Coalition, 35.4% Labor, 10.5% Greens, 3.6% One Nation, 2.8% Shooters and 3.5% undecided. The Victorian election will be held on November 24.
“Mark Latham has fallen out with everyone he’s ever worked with and Pauline Hanson has fallen out with everyone she’s ever worked with.”
And now, of course, Latham, once a man the Labor Party thought should be prime minister, and Hanson, who the Liberal Party once preselected as its candidate for federal parliament, are working together.
Why don’t they and their parties get the message to provide a public service and not just service the public? (ODT)
But no matter how we finely slice these data, they all point to one overarching trend: citizens in democracies are expecting more from their political systems and political leaders, and they are increasingly underwhelmed by what they see.
Australians were justifiably shocked, appalled and embarrassed by the ball tampering our test cricketers attempted last month in South Africa. Somehow, better was expected of them. After all, they were playing the gentlemen’s game – cricket – where any cheating was simply ‘not cricket’.
Why then are we not even more disgusted by the truth tampering our politicians perpetrate day after day? We ought to be! But we seem to accept it as the norm. We allow them to lie to us with scarcely a murmur of protest.
The motive behind their tampering is the same: an insatiable desire to win, win, win at any cost; to utterly defeat the enemy. 2353NM expanded on this theme in his insightful piece: A Winning Culture.
One Liberal moderate bluntly characterises the “Monash Forum”, which burst into the energy debate this week, as “the deplorables trying to give themselves a credible front”.
Whatever else it might be, the so-called forum is Tony Abbott’s latest weapon in baiting the Turnbull bear.
The Liberal Party has no compelling alternative to Turnbull. If it did, he’d be long gone. But it has three aspiring alternatives. The most obvious is the least plausible, Tony Abbott, who, in the Easter spirit of resurrection, this week offered as a political rule that “you’re always better the second time around”. The voters don’t intend to give him the chance and neither do his colleagues.
The most plausible is Julie Bishop. Of the Liberal leadership contenders, she is the only one who could credibly improve the Coalition’s vote and win an election. She is the champion of Liberal moderates and demonstrates her star power every time she visits a colleague’s electorate to campaign for them, which she does tirelessly.
Turnbull had his chance to be a moral force when he first took the prime ministership. But when he abandoned every big cause he’d ever championed during his three decades in the public eye – the republic, climate change and gay marriage – and accepted the Abbott policy settings as a condition of taking the job, he lost every skerrick of moral authority with the people.
Labor has a unifying sense of purpose around the “fairness” theme that has been Shorten’s rallying cry ever since his budget reply speech in 2014. The constant disagreement in the Labor ranks over asylum seeker policy, likely to trigger another argument at the national conference in Adelaide in July, is one of the few flashpoints in a caucus that is remarkably solid when it makes big calls on economic or budget policies. This is not a verdict on those policies; it is an assessment of Labor’s cohesion and political strength.
And New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinta Ahern said she would go beyond GDP and other purely economic measurements to look at how New Zealand society is progressing.
Relying on purely economic measurements allows governments to almost ignore their main purpose – improving people’s lives. If something is not measured it can be ignored.
As it happens, early this decade the Australian Bureau of Statistics began what Ahern wants to do. It set out to measure Australia’s progress. It did a wide consultation on what mattered to Australians. Economics was just one of four main areas of concern. The others were society, environment and governance.
Since then, we may have progressed economically, but regress has been the mark of the other areas.
Pertinently, regress in governance included the Coalition Government squeezing the ABS so much financially (and probably otherwise) that it was forced to abandon the Measuring Australia’s Progress program altogether.
It should not come as a surprise that the conservative forces in society hold conservative views about women. These views express the oppression of women under capitalism, and their role as the unpaid bearers and carers of the next generation of workers.
Only a mass movement of women, the women’s liberation movement, challenged this and won, admittedly, partial victories. However, until the role of women as the brood mares for capitalism is fundamentally challenged, women will continue to be oppressed.
Third is that Turnbull has created a determined new enemy in the Coalition’s ranks. Joyce is furious that Turnbull condemned him so publicly, and is convinced that Turnbull’s office went on to leak against him. Joyce will now join Tony Abbott on the backbench and on a mission to destroy Turnbull.
Turnbull had his 10 minutes of virtue-signalling and his 15 minutes of publicity. Now he will have a lifetime enemy inside his own Coalition. Another one.
Malcolm Turnbull says Barnaby Joyce has made “the right decision” to quit his job as the Deputy Prime Minister because he faces difficult personal issues and a new complaint against him.
[Former PM] Tony Abbott and a group of extreme right-wing thugs conducted one of the most vicious and destructive scare campaigns in modern history on deficit and debt — which has since doubled and even tripled, in some years … And they have been aided by the Murdoch press, which has acted as a cheer squad and echo chamber.
Shari Markson from Murdoch’s stable didn’t break the Barney Story but did raise it to political thunder to discredit Malcolm Turnbull our PM
Only after billionaire media mogul Rupert Murdoch gave the nod to his News Corp foot soldiers last week to proceed with publishing the truth about some of the scandals surrounding Mr Joyce, did other journalists suddenly somehow discover their reporting mojo and investigative capabilities.
Over the past week, news headlines in Australia have involved almost nothing else apart from the struggles facing Mr Joyce. The headlines have even travelled around the world with media in the USA and UK reporting on Mr Joyce’s troubles and travails. Clearly and obviously this story was in the public interest. But why not in October and November last year when Mr Joyce was facing an important by-election in New England caused by his own ignorance of his citizenship status?
I don’t think I properly understood before that the hiring of political staffers is arbitrary and without scrutiny. One of Australia’s leading researchers in this area, Maria Maley, also at the ANU, has comprehensively reviewed federal political advisers in Australia. The news isn’t good. She describes advisers as “a cadre separate from the public service … partisan”. Under the Members of Parliament (Staff) Act, they are employed personally by ministers but their salaries are paid by the taxpayer.
Maley says one of the negative features of Australia’s arrangements is the secrecy surrounding the identity of ministerial staff. We don’t really know who they are, how they got there and why they were chosen. It’s awful.
Maley says the Coalition, under former prime minister John Howard, ditched the practice of naming advisers; and their identities are not readily publicly available. Everyone in Parliament House knows but not us. We pay the bills but we don’t know who they are.
The grounds for removal are arguably already there. Not only is there the distraction but there is also the revelation that Joyce failed to inform the PM of his changed circumstances including that his new partner was a staff member – a notification to the PM is required under the ministerial code of conduct
Australian Values: Remember when it used to be Simpson and his donkey now it’s Matthew Guy is a donkey
So, in Victoria, Matthew “The Family” Guy has announced that Victorian schools will be instructed to teach “Australian values” under a Liberal Government, as well as getting rid of all this trendy nonsense of teaching about sustainability, Asia and aboriginal history. Of course, Safe Schools goes because an Australian environment needs to be dangerous and there’s also going to be a greater concentration on “literacy, numeracy and writing.” Writing, of course, being a totally separate thing from literacy.
“Peter Dutton has blasted the Victorian Labor government over African street crime, claiming residents of Australia’s second-largest city were scared to go out to restaurants at night.” The Age
Dutton is a perfect example of why we ought to be ashamed of our government. Democracy is diminished when Australia’s media play to and deliver this degree of misinformation by a leading Cabinet MP. Dutton an ex cop from Qld is basically calling Victorian police the Premier’s marionettes. In fact he’s calling all of Victoria’s educated experts on crime liars.
Dutton should refer to their Royal Commission on Youth Justice and the Australian ABS before opening their mouths and delivering BS and false facts. Potato Head Dutton ex Sargent it seems is ignorant about his own states crime stats when discussing Melbourne. It is shameful and represents the quality of the man who was once a cop and is now in charge of Homeland Security. He didn’t know what was going on during b\”Boomgate” and seems to know even less now.
From ABS the Australian Beareau of Statistics shows Victoria’s criminal offenders decreased by 3,442 less than Qld’s Mr Dutton going down in numbers. While Dutton’s LNP cut funding to the state by $75 mill.
OFFENDER NUMBERS INCREASED IN ALMOST ALL STATES AND TERRITORIES
- Victoria was the only state or territory in which the number of offenders decreased between 2014–15 and 2015–16, with a decrease of 3,163 offenders (or 4%).
- Over the same period the number of offenders increased in:
- New South Wales (by 3,905 offenders or 3%)
- South Australia (by 2,254 offenders or 5%)
- Western Australia (by 1,322 or 3%)
- Northern Territory (by 279 offenders or 2%)
- Queensland (by 245 offenders or 0.2%)
- Australian Capital Territory (by 125 offenders or 5%)
- Tasmania (by 49 offenders or 0.5%)
3 Card Monty of Politics
So, if you were Scott Morrison wouldn’t you adopt the look over there policy and redirect the national focus away from fiscal management and call for us to rally under another banner for a new cause, in this case a religious crusade?
The charge that Sam Dastyari was actively undermining our security agencies is a ludicrous beat-up that could have easily been exposed by any serious journalist who looked into the story, writes Dr Barry Hindess.
Why are all these peoplcoming out to support Sam when the die has been cast????
“This information exposes that simply cracking down on foreign donations will not end the influence of big money over our political system,” he said. “Until we reform our entire donations system, Labor and the Liberals are simply propping this broken system upGreens single out 13 companies that paid no tax yet donated to major parties | Australia news | The Guardian
“James Ashby, Pauline Hanson’s right-hand man, driver of the Battler’s Bus and guest on the Nine panel, sought to calm the former senator, who was found by the High Court to hold dual Australian-British citizenship, however much he had denied it.
“You’ve done an exceptional job,” said Ashby. “This is a much better result than your Senate campaign.”
“Well, quite. Roberts spent his brief and strange career in the Senate having got precisely 77 personal votes.”
At the pointy end of the political year, the Prime Minister is a weakened leader under siege from within and without, writes Michael Brissenden.
She sits in the national security subcommittee of the cabinet and has run Australia’s external intelligence agency with aplomb. While she has her detractors inside the government, Labor strategists have a healthy regard for her electoral appeal. She is the only Liberal who makes them nervous and may induce voters to take another look at this government and to scrutinise Bill Shorten one last time before electing him.
What if I told you you were paying no more for electricity than in 1984?
Three Turnbull ministers have expressed regret but refused to apologise for their criticism of terror sentencing when hauled before the Victorian supreme court
While it’s clear the government isn’t really abolishing anything, other than the title of the 457 visa, the change in rhetoric is another of the PM’s whiplash-inducing political transitions
In 2012, former judge and anti-corruption campaigner, Tony Fitzgerald, wrote an article titled The body politic is rotten in which he espoused the view that “ethics, tolerance and civility are intrinsic elements of democratic society and that the politicians’ mutual contempt and aggressive, “end justifies the means” amorality erodes respect for authority and public institutions…
Source: Insiders | The Monthly