Tag: Polls

Israel

As international support for an independent Palestine grows, here’s what Israelis and Palestinians now Think of the Two-state Solution

Again Netanyahu goes against the majority of ISRAEL

The concept has long been supported by the US and its allies, as well as most Arab states and the United Nations. In 2017, Hamas amended its charter to accept the existence of Israel based on borders established after the six-day war in 1967. It reportedly indicated recently a willingness to disarm if a Palestinian state were established. But the present Israeli government led by the prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu remains implacably opposed to a two-state solution.

Source: As international support for an independent Palestine grows, here’s what Israelis and Palestinians now Think of the Two-state Solution

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Old Dog Thought- What is isn’t and what isn’t is. $26 B was gifted to Israel, $14.5 B was exclusively military. Who’s the other $11.5 B for ?

Fighting Fake News with REAL, 23/4/24, Scam of the Week, IMF Rankings, Rossleigh, Polls, Tom ain’t Cotton,

Trump

Oh Yes, Candidate Trump Is In Big Trouble | Crooks and Liars

Oh Yes, Candidate Trump Is In Big Trouble

There’s been a change in the narrative.

As the New Hampshire results rolled in last Tuesday night, veteran political journalist John Harwood tweeted, “We’re in early stages of massive analytic shift from ‘Biden’s in big trouble’ to ‘Trump’s in big trouble.’”

Source: Oh Yes, Candidate Trump Is In Big Trouble | Crooks and Liars

Informed Comment

The mystery of polls is that they tell us nothing – » The Australian Independent Media Network

What can we take from these figures so far from the next election? Just what has Dutton done to deserve the public’s support? Well, nothing comes to mind. What Newspolls do is provide Murdoch newspapers with a solid base from which to attack Labor. They create stories around their polling that are of little substance or importance.

Source: The mystery of polls is that they tell us nothing – » The Australian Independent Media Network

Israel, Netanyahu

Israeli PM Netanyahu’s Performative Genocide in Gaza

The most recent Israeli poll indicates that more than 75 percent of Israelis want Netanyahu to resign. It can’t be soon enough.

Hamas is winning the public relations war as Netanyahu leads Israel into becoming a pariah state. Hamas, however horrifying and grisly their actions may be, is playing three-dimensional chess with world opinion. Netanyahu is playing whack-a-mole, resulting in a horrific death toll that Hamas anticipated would weaken support of Israel and halt its rumored incipient recognition by Saudi Arabia.

For Israelis concerned about security, having Netanyahu as Prime Minister is like having an arsonist guard the fire station.

(Special to Informed Comment; Feature) – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s vow to destroy Hamas, whatever the cost to civilians in Gaza, is based on a brutally cynical reality that such a goal will not be achievable without completely decimating Gaza or forcing the Gazans into exile in Egypt (either of which many of his political partners endorse, calling all Gazans ‘beasts’ or ‘sub-human.’) Recently, Netanyahu referred to a biblical old testament passage that called for the killing of every Amalekite, as he sought to justify the thousands of civilian deaths in Gaza. As reported  on November 3rd in Mother

Source: Israeli PM Netanyahu’s Performative Genocide in Gaza

Neoliberalism

The PwC disaster — Neoliberalism on steroids

Australians are tired of neoliberalism. We are sick of that much talked about and ever-widening gap between the haves and have-nots.

Victoria became the most privatised of states after former Liberal Premier Jeff Kennett sold everything except the site on which the Victorian Parliament sits — though given time, this too may have been on the cards. 

Meanwhile, the mainstream media’s most hated state leader, Victorian Premier Dan Andrews, has enjoyed a 6.5 per cent increase in support since the 2022 State Election, while the Liberal Opposition is down 6.5 per cent. It is not too much of a stretch to posit that the decision by the Andrews Government to restore the State Electricity Commission in Victoria has contributed to voter trust in his Government.

Source: The PwC disaster — Neoliberalism on steroids

Israel

For First Time, US Democratic Voters Sympathize More With Palestinians Than Israelis: Poll

Palestine protest in Philadelphia

In a sign of a major shift in U.S. public perception that’s largely generational, U.S. Democrats favor Palestinians by an 11-point margin. A decade ago, the gap was 36% in favor of Israelis.

Source: For First Time, US Democratic Voters Sympathize More With Palestinians Than Israelis: Poll

Trump

Trump’s bluffing days are done | The Hill

Georgia Election Investigation

For Republican Party elected officials and leaders, it’s time to stop being the nits at the poker table. Trump no longer holds the cards. His bluffing days should be over.

Source: Trump’s bluffing days are done | The Hill

Informed Comment

Joe Biden has steadied the nation – why don’t his polling numbers reflect this? | Robert Reich | The Guardian

Joe Biden delivers his State of the Union address

Informed Comment

Biden’s speech reminded me of how good a president he has been, especially given what he inherited from the former guy, who made a fetish out of dividing and angering Americans while accomplishing nothing except giving a giant tax cut to big corporations and the rich.

Source: Joe Biden has steadied the nation – why don’t his polling numbers reflect this? | Robert Reich | The Guardian

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Old Dog Thought-

Fighting Fake News with REAL 15/10/22,Drowning and waving; world’s2nd biggest Ice Sheet; Keating,Fact Check Dutton,Evacuation Flooding,Polls,

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Old Dog Thought- Australia leads the world to the left

Fighting Fake news with REAL 12/10/22, Polls, Greenwashing, Michel Moore Predicts; Trickle-Down Economics,

Uncategorized

Old Dog Thought- Dutton rode on the back of Tony Abbott but fell with Turnbull and Bishop when Morrison did a Bradbury. He’s stood up but nobody’s home in the top paddock

Fighting Fake news with REAL; 3/8/22; John Lord nails it; Dutton; Reverse Ferret;

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Old Dog Thought- Morrison won’t lift a finger to save Josh. If Josh wins he’s next in line for Morrison’s job. That’s the LNP Team

Fighting Fake News with REAL 18/5/22; Dutton loses again; Living with Covid is an excuse; Polls; Barnaby Morrison’s Point Guard;Frydenberg under the bus;

Election

Undecided voters award Albanese victory in third and final leaders’ debate

Undecided voters in marginal seats have named Anthony Albanese the clear winner of the third and final leaders’ debate which was a more sedate affair than the previous ‘shouty’ match.

The Final Showdown on Channel 7 on Wednesday night included a ‘pub test’ of 160 voters who scored Mr Albanese 50 per cent and Mr Morrison 34 per cent while 16 per cent remained undecided.

Meanwhile A YouGov poll of 19,000 voters commissioned by The Australian shows the Coalition heading for defeat, with Labor winning 80 seats and the Coalition reduced to 63. Seven seats would go to independents and one to the Greens.

Source: Undecided voters award Albanese victory in third and final leaders’ debate

Informed Comment

Let’s hope the polls are right this time – » The Australian Independent Media Network

The biggest poll of 16,000 has the ALP with a majority of 12 seats and an increased number of Independents

My thought for the day I find it impossible to imagine that the Australian people could be so gullible as to elect for a fourth term a government that has performed so miserably in the first three. Especially when it has amongst its members some of the most devious, suspicious and corrupt men and women, but they could.( John Lord )

Source: Let’s hope the polls are right this time – » The Australian Independent Media Network

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Old Dog Thought- More Covid deaths than 2020,2021combined 5000++ in 2022, 50,000 cases “reported” a day and smug Morrison praises his current no mask “Living with Covid” poor global record.

Fighting Fake News with REAL 19/5/22; Standing outside looking in; Polls, Facts gone MIA in the 2nd Debate; Newscorp; Sexual assault points to Frydenberg; Journalism needs restoring;

Informed Comment

Shock Poll Says The Same Thing That The Other Polls Have Said… – » The Australian Independent Media Network

Quick Poll

Yes, we all know that there’s only one poll that counts, and that’s the one taken next week when the Liberals all get together to work out if it’s too late to change leader.

Source: Shock Poll Says The Same Thing That The Other Polls Have Said… – » The Australian Independent Media Network

LNP, LNP Government

Government support lower than at bushfires – Michael West Media

Like Monty Python’s Black Knight Scott Morrison is mustering his Media Forces and Dirt Brigade to keep Albo tarnished in the view of the electorate. Kimberly Kitching vs the “Mean Girls” has been his current attention grabber to keep the brutal defeat of the LNP in South Australia off the front pages. Peter Dutton’s promise of a space force sometime next century is intended to add some spit and polish  to Scumo

Coalition support is lower than it was during the Black Summer bushfires, a study has found. Just 32.2 per cent of respondents said they would vote for the government if an election was held in January, compared with 35.4 per cent in January 2020. It is also a sizeable drop from January 2021 at the height of the pandemic, when 40.3 per cent of respondent said they’d vote for the Liberal-National coalition. Lead author of the Australian National University study Professor Nicholas Biddle said with less than one in three respondents to back the incumbents, things did not look good for the coalition. “This is significantly lower than the 37 per cent who said they would vote for Labor, who would appear to have been in an election-winning position,” he said.

Source: Government support lower than at bushfires – Michael West Media

LNP, LNP Government

Josh And The Incredible Economy And Other Just Not So Stories… – » The Australian Independent Media Network

Strangely, Mr Frydenberg’s broken promise wasn’t the front page of “The Herald-Sun” in Melbourne today. No, there was a much bigger one. The Independent challenging him for the seat has a secret. She doesn’t like the government and, even worse, she once declared her love for some Labor politicians on Facebook. Now, given that it came out that she was once a member of the Labor Party a few months ago, I wouldn’t have considered this front page news, but I guess that’s why I’m not likely to ever be asked to edit any of the Murdoch propaganda sheets.

I would have presumed that the announcement that Josh doesn’t intend to demonstrate his commitment to recycling by using the same car park policy that he took to the previous election would be an indication that he feels completely safe. However, when the papers feel the need to do a hit job on his opponent and not some Labor person in a marginal electorate, the polling must be closer than I thought.

Ok, well, it’s only a matter of weeks before Morrison has to either call the election or else we’ll all know that it’s on May 21st. Unless he really is intending to have a half-Senate election and hold off the House of Representatives so long that all the newspapers running Clive Palmer’s ads become viable businesses again.

 

Source: Josh And The Incredible Economy And Other Just Not So Stories… – » The Australian Independent Media Network

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- Morrison stands shoulder to shoulder with Putin when it comes to Fossil Fuels and the Economy. Not with the rest of the World

Fighting Fake News with REAL 28/2/22; Polls Labor Leads, Morrison supports Putin, Nuclear Threat; Fake News

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- The LNP wished and changed the face of politics and look what they got Morrison, Perrottet and Guy. It’s time to return to Democratic service compromise and not “win at all cost”
newspoll scott morrison
MattGolding Cartoons on Twitter: "Matthew Guy says there is no use trying to ignore the problem of 'ethnic gangs'. 'It is real and it is happening!' @theage #springst #AusPol #GangCrime https://t.co/Zy57iePax1" /
Redfern just scored a new street art masterpiece needling the premier's fumbled Omicron response

Fighting Fake News with REAL 14/2/22; Matthew Guy; Robbing the ABC;

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- Chaos is the LNP Playground. It leaves nobody watching what has really been happening. The rich have simply had a glutton’s picnic

Fighting Fake News with REAL 22/1/22; Lying and Chaos suits the LNP, Polling Week

Media

Coalition slumps in first poll of 2022 as voters lose confidence in Morrison’s handling of pandemic

Peter Costello’s Ch9 seemed to have selected a poll that reports differently to others why is that? Because Resolve show a softer verion of the results and less damning of the LNP  and therefore a less seemingly negative image of Morrison’s actual CV.

In the first national poll of the new year, a Resolve survey for the Nine newspapers, Labor had 35% of the primary vote (up three percentage points since November), the Coalition 34% (down five), the Greens 11% (steady), One Nation 3% (steady) and independents 11% (up two). This is the first time since Resolve began doing its monthly surveys last April that Labor has been ahead of the Coalition on primary votes. In late 2021, Resolve showed better results for the Coalition than other polls conducted at about the same time.

Source: Coalition slumps in first poll of 2022 as voters lose confidence in Morrison’s handling of pandemic

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Old Dog Thought- Christensen doesn’t play tennis
George Christensen

Fighting Fake News with REAL 19/1/22; Polls , Anti-Vaxxers and the Government response; George Christensen;

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- The LNP is attacking Democracy the ABC, Voter ID, soon Compulsory Voting. Their unimaginative wish to Americanize Australia is crystal
Image

Fighting Fake News with REAL 15/11/21; Polls; Pork barrelling, The Frydenberg Economic bungee; Israel’s foriegn policy influences;

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- There’s No Vaccine Against Ignorance Sung to the tune of the Whitlam’s song There’s No Aphrodisiac

Fighting Fake News with REAL 9/11/21 No Vax against Ignorance, Morrison sinks in the polls

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- Fryden-Harvard-berger talks as if we’re mushrooms.

Fighting Fake News with REAL 25/10/21; Economic Reality, The Accounting Industry; Polls, The Shovel

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- There is a rainbow and a pot of gold with ALP out there

Fighting Fake News with REAL, 4/9/21, John Lord- Change; Polls, Coalition Vic assist the state; A Partisan Public Service;

LNP Government

Popularity of Scott Morrison plunges as ALP retains 53-47 Newspoll lead

Morrison the marketeer follows the polls and his poopularity is on the rise.

The latest Newspoll conducted for The Australian newspaper and published on Sunday night found Mr Morrison’s approval rating had fallen from its high of 85 per cent in April 2020 to just 48 per cent in the latest survey conducted between August 4 and 7. It equates to a four-point drop in only three weeks, and is the first time the PM’s performance has fallen into net negative territory since March 2020. When translated to voting intentions, it leaves Labor leading the Coalition 53-47 on a two-party-preferred basis and the government facing its worst electoral position since the Black Saturday bushfires crisis in 2019-20.

Source: Popularity of Scott Morrison plunges as ALP retains 53-47 Newspoll lead

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- Morrison’s Poopularity Continues to Rise
A primary school student washes her hands at a wash trough at Mango Hill State School, north of Brisban.

Fighting Fake News with REAL; 9/8/21, Morrison’s Poopularity on the rise, The Shovel, Schools and Covid-19,

Scott Morrison

From character to competence, ‘Scotty from Marketing’ is in a world of pain

Prime Minister Scott Morrison is seen wearing a face mask during a press conference at Kirribilli House on July 16, 2021 in Sydney

The competence a politician has and displays is the Bitcoin of the modern business. If you’re competent enough and present as such, with the typical confidence high-achieving pols have in abundance, your selling price is on the escalator. Just like the roller coaster ride Bitcoin traders know so well, when a political leader falters in competence and starts looking to be out of his or her depth your value takes a dive. Right now Scott Morrison is like Bitcoin. He spent 2020 on the rise – hitting unprecedented highs over time – but then slumped in the early months of 2021.

Source: From character to competence, ‘Scotty from Marketing’ is in a world of pain

Scott Morrison

Polls show Morrison’s spin wearing thin

With growing criticism toward his poor leadership of our country, particularly through the pandemic, Scott Morrison’s popularity is slipping, writes Emma Dawson.

Source: Polls show Morrison’s spin wearing thin

LNP, LNP Government

Labor takes 53-47 lead as Scott Morrison’s approval rating plummets

Not only had Mr Morrison’s net approval slid to its lowest level since the 2019-20 bushfire crisis, popular support for the Coalition (down two points) and Labor (up two points) was deadlocked at 39 per cent. The four-point turnaround equates to Labor taking a 53-47 lead in a two-party-preferred vote and a significant defeat for the Morrison government if a federal election was held.

Source: Labor takes 53-47 lead as Scott Morrison’s approval rating plummets

Uncategorized

Morrison and Coalition sink in Newspoll with rollout shambles

Any wonder Costello sacked Hewson. The only thing keeping Morrison, Dutton, and Frydenberg afloat is private MSM

Support for Scott Morrison and the government have slumped in Newspoll, in a major backlash against the botched vaccine rollout. Labor has surged to a two-party lead of 53-47 per cent, compared with 51-49 per cent in the previous poll in late June.

Source: Morrison and Coalition sink in Newspoll with rollout shambles

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- Morrison flops in the polls he’s considering claiming Smith St the coolest St on the planet as his.

Fighting Fake News with REAL 19/7 21; The Polls Morrison & his LNP,ALP, Albo and Dan the difference; Costello sacks Hewson and Murdoch Markets Scott;

Scott Morrison

Public trust in the government’s COVID response is slowly eroding. Here’s how to get it back on track

The latest Essential poll last week showed people’s support of the government’s handling of the pandemic sliding nine points from 53% to 44%. And 30% of respondents described the government’s COVID strategy as poor, compared to 24% a month earlier.

Source: Public trust in the government’s COVID response is slowly eroding. Here’s how to get it back on track

Media

Media should be careful with polls about critical race theory | Media Matters for America

Media should be careful with polls about critical race theory

Three polls released in the past several months attempt to measure public opinion about critical race theory — asking respondents about the topic in general, how often they’ve heard about it, and whether they agree with it’s alleged use in elementary schools. However, none of the polls assess whether respondents accurately understand critical race theory, so given right-wing media spin on the topic, outlets must be cautious in reporting their results.

Source: Media should be careful with polls about critical race theory | Media Matters for America

Informed Comment

Numbers can lie: the science behind opinion polls – Michael West

opinion polls

Results from opinion polls are regularly accorded more weight than they deserve, particularly given that their methodology is not transparent; their language can shape answers; and only a small percentage of those contacted respond. Yet polls may also independently shape voting choices. Michael Tanner reports.

Source: Numbers can lie: the science behind opinion polls – Michael West

Informed Comment

The polls are in search of some lasting credibility – » The Australian Independent Media Network

Under Abbott, Turnbull and now Morrison, they, by any standard, have governed abysmally. So much so that they really don’t deserve to win. It would be fair to say that a vote for the Coalition would be a reward for governance that doesn’t even approach mediocrity. One then has to ask how come they are still favourites to win. Why is it so, one might ask?

Source: The polls are in search of some lasting credibility – » The Australian Independent Media Network

Scott Morrison

As Australia’s vaccination bungle becomes clear, Morrison’s political pain is only just beginning

Morrison now faces multiple, serious threats Coupled with a poorly managed political crisis over the treatment of women, Morrison’s 2021 has been tin-eared. A sharp decline of public trust in government, in expertise, and in institutional competence looms as a clear and present danger for Morrison’s popularity.

Source: As Australia’s vaccination bungle becomes clear, Morrison’s political pain is only just beginning

LNP, LNP Government, LNP Tactics

Postpone the poll: why the Coalition is suddenly looking rattled | Australian politics | The Guardian

Australia’s deputy prime minister Michael McCormack and prime minister Scott Morrison

Morrison has repeatedly said he’s a “full termer” and has no plans of calling an election any time soon. It may be one of the few pledges he can keep.

A drop in the polls – largely due to the government’s manmade “women issues” combined with backbencher woes – had already left the Coalition teetering on the edge of minority government, making many MPs nervous.

The abrupt change in the government’s vaccine fortunes – once thought so golden that announcements came attached with Liberal party branding – turned nervous into anxious on Friday.

Source: Postpone the poll: why the Coalition is suddenly looking rattled | Australian politics | The Guardian

Fight against Fake News, Fighting Fake News

Old Dog Thought- Government outsourcing opened the floodgates to grifters and a need for improved welfare
Local arts and film jilted in favour of foreign streaming majors Foxtel, Netflix, and Nine’s Stan

Fighting Fake News with REAL 15/3/21; Slipping and Sliding Morrison; Ask Jen; Government punishment; Stairway to Money and the basement winners and losers;

Scott Morrison

Rape allegations have shaken Canberra to its core – and may now be hitting the PM in the polls | Peter Lewis | Australia news | The Guardian
Scott Morrison

A double-digit deterioration in perceptions of Scott Morrison’s personal attributes has been wholly driven by female voters

Rape allegations have shaken Canberra to its core – and may now be hitting the PM in the polls | Peter Lewis | Australia news | The Guardian
Polls

Poll: Majority Want Trump Barred From Holding Future Office | Crooks and Liars
Poll: Majority Want Trump Barred From Holding Future Office

A clear majority of Americans want twice-impeached former President Donald Trump to be convicted by the Senate and barred from holding office in the future, according to polling results released Monday, the same day the House of Representatives delivered an article of impeachment against Trump for “incitement of insurrection” to the upper chamber of Congress.

Poll: Majority Want Trump Barred From Holding Future Office | Crooks and Liars
Informed Comment

How come a pathetic government leads in the polls? – » The Australian Independent Media Network

“How come?” with almost three terms of pathetic governance is the Morrison government able to maintain such a lead in the polls?

How come a pathetic government leads in the polls? – » The Australian Independent Media Network
US 2020 Election

US election 2020: Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in final polls
President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally in Iowa.

If the state polls were underestimating Trump’s support by the same amount as 2016, Biden would still be far enough ahead to win the required 270 Electoral College votes on November 3. The President would require a bigger polling miss than four years ago in order to win a second term.

US election 2020: Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in final polls
US Election 2020

Joe Biden is tipped to win the US presidential election, but polling is never as simple as it seems – ABC News

A composite image of Donald Trump and Joe Biden Polls highly favour Joe Biden to win the US presidential election.

These polls are not just abstract information. By telling prospective voters who is the most likely to win, can they influence the result of the election by playing a role in the voters’ decision? The evidence says yes, and it most likely favours Biden.

In theory, you could imagine two possible effects of polls. First, a momentum effect. Second, an underdog effect.

Source: Joe Biden is tipped to win the US presidential election, but polling is never as simple as it seems – ABC News

Informed Comment

Newspoll, Insiders, and what’s new in politics – » The Australian Independent Media Network

The common good, or empathy for it, should be at the centre of any political philosophy. However, it is more likely to be found on the left than the right.

Newspoll, Insiders, and what’s new in politics – » The Australian Independent Media Network
Trump, Trumpland, Uncategorized

Trump breaks tradition to campaign during Democratic convention | USA News | Al Jazeera

President Donald Trump is set to hold events in swing states during the Democratic National Convention [Evan Vucci/The Associated Press]

Amid slumping polls, the president campaigns in battleground states Wisconsin, Minnesota, Arizona and Pennsylvania.

via Trump breaks tradition to campaign during Democratic convention | USA News | Al Jazeera

Trumpland, Uncategorized

The Election Is in 100 Days. If It Were Held Today, Trump Would Lose. – Mother Jones

https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/1286402616851824640/Ejy5DXMb?format=jpg&name=small

Polls this morning: Florida: 51% Biden 46% Trump Arizona: 49% Biden 45% Trump Michigan: 52% Biden 40% Trump

But Trump does have some reason for optimism and his opponents for vigilance. Trump claims there is a “Silent Majority” that will reelect him. But the fear for Democrats is actually a silencing of the majority. Trump won four years ago with a minority of the popular vote, and the hurdles to voting are only growing during the pandemic. Mail-in ballots may be discarded at high rates, a shrinking number of polling locations and a lack of poll-workers could result in long lines, as demonstrated by primaries. Election officials, low on resources, have just 100 days to carry out an election in a pandemic.

Political fortunes can change and polls may narrow, but as we pass the 100 day mark, Trump’s hopes for reelection increasingly rest on a majority of Americans having their will subverted once again.

via The Election Is in 100 Days. If It Were Held Today, Trump Would Lose. – Mother Jones