Category: Polls

Majority of Americans of all Religions or None want Legal Abortion, except for Evangelicals and 47% of Catholics

The Pew Research Center has a poll out on views about abortion of American religious groups. It shows that in most American religious groups, as well as religious “nones” (people without strong religious beliefs, including agnostics and atheists), the majority believes that abortion should be legal in “all or most circumstances.”

This finding puts the leaked draft opinion of Judge Samuel Alito into stark relief as an outlier and raises questions of whether the conservative majority on the US Supreme Court is Establishing religion in taking a stance against any constitutional right to abortion. The religions in question are Catholicism and Evangelicalism, both of which, along with Mormonism, contain a majority or plurality that opposes abortion. About 30% of Americans are religiously unaffiliated, up from 8% in 1990. They overwhelmingly believe abortion should be legal (73%). So Alito and the Republican Party are imposing their religious beliefs on these secular Americans who see no secular purpose in an abortion ban. This is nearly 100 million Americans we are talking about.

Source: Majority of Americans of all Religions or None want Legal Abortion, except for Evangelicals and 47% of Catholics

Roy Morgan poll: Cost of living bites Morrison as Labor gains

For the first time since the election campaign began, Labor has extended its election lead, as inflation worries and plunging confidence in government leave the Coalition on the wrong side of their own political divide.

This week’s exclusive Roy Morgan poll shows Labor has extended its already substantial election-winning lead by 1 percentage point to reach 55.5 to 44.5 per cent in two-party-preferred terms.

 

Source: Roy Morgan poll: Cost of living bites Morrison as Labor gains

Poll: Hung parliament looms large as Coalition eats into Labor lead

Older but not wiser it would seem. Shame on the baby boomers.

The Coalition has made inroads into Labor’s lead, but a new poll shows only independent candidates have emerged as winners from a tight week of campaigning.

Source: Poll: Hung parliament looms large as Coalition eats into Labor lead

Poll: Coalition climbs after Labor’s disastrous first week

Anthony Albanese Labor

Is it REAL or FAKE? If the ALP are ahead we are told its FAKE if the LNP are ahead it’s REAL. Even the polling has become product to sell rather than a source of information.

The Coalition’s projected vote share after preferences is up 2 points after the first week but still remains on the wrong side of a commanding 55 to 45 per cent lead. After this early campaign tightening, the two-party preferred gap between the two major parties is closer than it has been for six months. On primary votes a shift in voters’ support is more pronounced. . The Coalition’s primary is up by 3 percentage points to 35.5 per cent; Labor’s is down by 1 percentage point to 35 per cent.

Source: Poll: Coalition climbs after Labor’s disastrous first week

Kooyong poll points to loss for Frydenberg

Josh Frydenberg

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg’s Victorian seat of Kooyong could fall to an independent, a new poll shows.The UComms poll of 847 residents conducted on April 12 found independent candidate Monique Ryan held a 59 to 41 per cent two-party preferred lead over Mr Frydenberg in the inner-Melbourne electorate.The poll also showed a 44 per cent disapproval rating for Mr Frydenberg’s record as local MP and a 57.2 per cent disapproval rating of Prime Minister Scott Morrison.

Source: Kooyong poll points to loss for Frydenberg

Morrison government receives minor budget bounce, but ALP leads 54-46 in latest Newspoll | The New Daily

But once preferences are allocated, the two-party-preferred gap remains strongly in favour of Mr Albanese’s Labor at 54-46. This correlates to a national swing of 5.5 per cent to Labor since the last election. If that trend is distributed across all seats, it would result in a landslide victory for Labor with the estimated loss of 17 Coalition seats. With an election expected to be called within days, the government may have hoped for a greater response. Asked who would be a better Prime Minister, the poll sided narrowly with Mr Morrison, who improved by a point to 43 per cent. Mr Albanese was unchanged on 42 per cent.

Source: Morrison government receives minor budget bounce, but ALP leads 54-46 in latest Newspoll | The New Daily

Australians’ distrust of Morrison turning them off government

Scott Morrison

Australians say Scott Morrison is the nation’s least trustworthy politician, as new figures show he is presiding over a nation losing trust in the Prime Minister but also government more broadly. The role Mr Morrison has played personally in attracting public criticism, but also the way in which his polarising leadership has changed the way many Australians view politics is outlined in new Roy Morgan research released this week. Contained within a wider analysis of public sentiment to government, the study showed which MPs are least trusted by Australians. Many are on the Coalition leadership team. Prime Minister Scott Morrison is the nation’s most distrusted, with Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce in second and Defence Minister Peter Dutton rounding out the ‘winner’s’ circle. Labor, by contrast, dominated most trusted in the snap survey, taken by Roy Morgan in March. South Australian Senator Penny Wong came in first. Party leader Anthony Albanese is now in second place, up from eighth in 2020 research.

Source: Australians’ distrust of Morrison turning them off government

Labor increases pre-election lead in poll

poll federal election

The Kitching Frontal failure

Labor has increased its lead over the Coalition government in a new opinion poll, as South Australia’s freshly elected premier says Prime Minister Scott Morrison is unpopular in the state. A new Roy Morgan poll showed Labor rising two points to lead 58 to 42 over the coalition on a two-party preferred basis. The poll was conducted over the past week, as petrol prices reached more than $2 a litre and the war in Ukraine entered its fourth week. Labor also led on primary vote, 37.5 per cent to 31 per cent.

Source: Labor increases pre-election lead in poll

Scott Morrison support dwindles following national security, leadership debates: RPM data

Voters have cut their support for Prime Minister Scott Morrison during a fierce political argument over leadership and national security, but Mr Morrison holds a narrow advantage when Australians are asked about who is their preferred prime minister.

Despite the polls, we mustn’t forget Morrison is used to getting sacked. He’s never really been understood and has angered and pissed off people, no, countries before.It seems he was born to get things wrong.

Voters have cut their support for Prime Minister Scott Morrison during a fierce political argument over leadership and national security, with 56 per cent saying he is doing a poor job compared to 50 per cent one month ago.

Source: Scott Morrison support dwindles following national security, leadership debates: RPM data

Labor leads Coalition 55-45 in latest Newspoll as Greens slump

newspoll scott morrison

Support for the Coalition and ALP has not changed in the latest Newspoll despite Prime Minister Scott Morrison experiencing a week to forget in Parliament. Surveying 1526 voters nationally between February 9 and 12, the exclusive poll for The Australian newspaper released on Sunday night found the Coalition’s primary vote remains on a record low of 34 per cent as Labor continues to peak on 41 per cent. But a three-point slump for the Greens (11 per cent to 8 per cent) and a corresponding rise in support for independents and minor parties to a record 14 per cent left the two-party-preferred result at 55-45.

Source: Labor leads Coalition 55-45 in latest Newspoll as Greens slump

Voters in coal and gas heartlands want a clean energy future

coal energy

As the accelerating effects of climate change ravage swathes of our nation, a new poll has found voters from the coal and gas heartlands of New South Wales and Queensland are ready to cash in on the opportunities of a zero carbon emissions future. The poll, released on Wednesday, reveals that the clear majority of voters believe the states’ future prosperity lies in clean industries, such as renewable energy exports, critical minerals like lithium and cobalt, and manufacturing renewable products.

Source: Voters in coal and gas heartlands want a clean energy future

Election polls reveal Morrison slipping

Morrison Government threatens Australia's democracy

Labour enters this election as it has all the elections for the past two decades with one arm tied behind its back. Wealth, Media, and the IPA are a consolidation of forces the ALP don’t have backing and funding them. The fact that the ALP is the most Democratic party in Australia, and the truly  broadest tent allowing for the widest views doesn’t make it the strongest contender against an Oligarch run, Capitalist, Democratic System. However what they do have going for them this time round is  Morrison, Joyce, and Dutton who have to be worst politicians this nation has ever seen. Any wonder their slogan is “don’t look in the rear vision”.

We once thought, and still do that Abbott was bad, the precursor for what was to come. He was what he was and was patently obvious all his political life. However his time ran out when one of the wealthiest and most educated electorates in the country Warringah rid us of him. Despite the fact Murdoch’s News Corp was throwing their papers over electorate fences for free trying to save his arse. However, with Morrison Dutton and Joyce we have seen the L-NP rapidly moving closer to Mussolini’s dream of a corporate state with one exception. It’s not a happy State Benito promised but rather an ever-growing nightmare.

In the balance of all this reasoning, as things are travelling, the Election in 2022 should soon be Labor’s to lose.

Source: Election polls reveal Morrison slipping

Newspoll has Labor’s biggest lead since Turnbull’s ousting as Coalition damaged by COVID

In the first Newspoll of 2022, Labor led by 56-44, a three-point gain since the previous Newspoll in early December. Primary votes were 41% Labor (up three), 34% Coalition (down two), 11% Greens (up one), 3% One Nation (steady) and 11% for all Others (down two). This is Labor’s biggest lead in Newspoll since the aftermath of the August 2018 ousting of Malcolm Turnbull in favour of Scott Morrison as prime minister. But the Coalition recovered to win the May 2019 election, with the final polls inaccurate. So the Coalition is not out of contention for the upcoming election yet. 39% were satisfied with Morrison’s performance (down five), and 58% were dissatisfied (up six), for a net approval of -19, down 11 points. Analyst Kevin Bonham said this was Morrison’s worst net approval since the 2019-20 bushfires (-22 then).

Source: Newspoll has Labor’s biggest lead since Turnbull’s ousting as Coalition damaged by COVID

POLITICO Playbook: 4 startling polls you should read about Jan. 6 – POLITICO

Protestors loyal to President Donald Trump rally at the U.S. Capitol in Washington on Jan. 6, 2021.

As the one-year anniversary of Jan. 6 approaches this week, news outlets are out with a spate of new polls showing how the siege of the Capitol has affected American politics.

Source: POLITICO Playbook: 4 startling polls you should read about Jan. 6 – POLITICO

PM’s approval slips as Labor retains 53-47 lead in latest Newspoll

national plan reopening Scot Morrison Anthony Albanese

Under Whitlam Australia turned from a Colony to greatness, under Hawke a place  much admired, Under Keating a Pacific Nation and Under Gillard  the 2nd best Global  Economy. Under the LNP we indukged in Wars, domestic division and slid in all major social metrics and particularly under the Morrison government to become the most disrespected member of the OECD led by the most secretive untrustable snakes ever supported by the moneyed IPA and  promoted by America’s media moghul Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp and Sky. Wake Up Australia let the sun shine in vote ALP or an Independant who preferences them

The government’s 2050 net-zero emissions pledge has done little to claw back support with voters in the latest Newspoll, with Labor continuing to lead the Coalition 53-47 on a two-party basis

Source: PM’s approval slips as Labor retains 53-47 lead in latest Newspoll

Labor takes 54-46 Newspoll lead as PM prepares for Glasgow climate summit | The New Daily

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The LNP are going it alone even when the ALP says zero coal-fired power plants aren’t their target.

Labor has extended its lead to 54-46 in the latest Newspoll, days before Prime Minister Scott Morrison prepares to head to Glasgow for the COP26 climate summit. The results of the exclusive poll, which is conducted for The Australian newspaper and released on Sunday night, shows support for the Coalition at its lowest level in three years as talk of action on reducing emissions dominates the political landscape. It highlighted increasing community support for greater climate action, with 47 per cent of voters saying the goal of reducing emissions should be prioritised over lower energy costs (40 per cent). It is a stark reversal from 2018 when 64 per cent of voters said energy prices should be the priority and only 24 per cent said reducing greenhouse gas emissions was more important.

Source: Labor takes 54-46 Newspoll lead as PM prepares for Glasgow climate summit | The New Daily

The Real Morning in America: ~2/3s are Optimistic under Biden: majorities want Gov’t to fix the Economy and blame GOP for Obstruction

A new ABC News/ Ipsos poll finds that 64% of Americans are optimistic about the next twelve months. It is the first time we have felt that way about ourselves since before George W. Bush crashed the economy by deregulating everything.

Source: The Real Morning in America: ~2/3s are Optimistic under Biden: majorities want Gov’t to fix the Economy and blame GOP for Obstruction

Poll: Majority Want Trump Barred From Holding Future Office | Crooks and Liars

Poll: Majority Want Trump Barred From Holding Future Office

A clear majority of Americans want twice-impeached former President Donald Trump to be convicted by the Senate and barred from holding office in the future, according to polling results released Monday, the same day the House of Representatives delivered an article of impeachment against Trump for “incitement of insurrection” to the upper chamber of Congress.

Poll: Majority Want Trump Barred From Holding Future Office | Crooks and Liars

Trump Prospects Plummet as Public blames him for Illness, Independents desert him over Debate Bullying

https://www.juancole.com/images/2020/10/trump-prospects-plummet-as-publi-750x422.jpg

An October 2-3 opinion poll conducted by Yahoo and YouGov from Friday-Saturday, when the public knew about Trump having fallen ill, found that they blamed him

Trump Prospects Plummet as Public blames him for Illness, Independents desert him over Debate Bullying

CNN host pours cold water on Trump’s re-election hopes with devastating new poll numbers – Raw Story

“Bad battleground state polling is why the president lashed out at as campaign manager. He won’t like this from an ABC/Ipsos poll: only 42 percent of Americans now approve of the president’s handling of the coronavirus crisis. 57 percent disapprove. That’s a 14-point spike in disapproval over the last six weeks.”

via CNN host pours cold water on Trump’s re-election hopes with devastating new poll numbers – Raw Story

New Poll Shows ‘Deep and Boiling Anger’ Towards Political Establishment Still Widespread | Common Dreams News

President Donald Trump hugs the U.S. flag during CPAC 2019 on March 02, 2019, in Washington, D.C.

Sixty-seven percent said they do not feel confident that our children’s generation will face a better life than ours; that’s up from the 61 percent who felt that way in 2017.

Respondents’ views of race relations were grim as well.

The poll finds that 60 percent believe race relations are bad in the nation. That view was expressed by 56 percent of whites, 81 percent of African Americans, and 61 percent of Hispanics.

Since President Donald Trump took office, 56 percent said race relations have gotten worse. While 47 percent of whites felt that way, 86 percent of African Americans and 74 percent of Hispanics said race relations worsened under Trump.

Views on the issue were markedly different under Trump’s predecessor.

via New Poll Shows ‘Deep and Boiling Anger’ Towards Political Establishment Still Widespread | Common Dreams News

‘This Man Can Beat Trump’: Sanders Viewed Most Favorably of 2020 Democratic Candidates | Common Dreams News

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) walks in the Independence Day parade with supporters in Ames, Iowa. (Photo: Gage Skidmore/flickr/cc)

A new Gallup poll showed that Bernie Sanders is the most favorably viewed contender for the Democratic presidential ticket.

Gallup released the results of the poll on Friday. It was conducted July 1-12, after first round of Democratic debates, and measured 10 Democratic White House hopefuls.

Sanders led the pack, with 72 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters viewing him favorably. Former Vice President Joe Biden followed at 69 percent. Rounding off the top half of the pack were Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 59 percent, Sen. Kamala Harris at 54 percent, and Sen. Cory Booker at 44 percent.

via ‘This Man Can Beat Trump’: Sanders Viewed Most Favorably of 2020 Democratic Candidates | Common Dreams News

Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Australians send a warning to Coalition MPs thinking about axing Malcolm Turnbull

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, Foreign Minister Julie Bishop and Treasurer Scott Morrison.

In a finding that will give nervous Liberal and Nationals MPs pause for thought, support for allowing a prime minister to serve a full-term leaps to 80 per cent among Coalition voters.

Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Australians send a warning to Coalition MPs thinking about axing Malcolm Turnbull

Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Support for Turnbull government crashes as Labor takes thumping lead | Watch Out  for Abbott’s Inside Game

Labor now holds a thumping 10 point lead over the Coalition in the two-party preferred vote.

Source: Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Support for Turnbull government crashes as Labor takes thumping lead

Are Hillary Clinton’s Strong Poll Numbers Misleading? | The Nation

Political science tells us Hillary Clinton will win the election—the poll numbers are so clearly in her favor. As of this moment, the authoritative FiveThirtyEight “polls only” forecast says Clinton’s chance of beating Trump is 86.6 percent.

Source: Are Hillary Clinton’s Strong Poll Numbers Misleading? | The Nation

Filed under:

Hillary Clinton gains 10 points over Donald Trump in first poll after DNC 2016 | US elections | News | The Independent

clinton-pennsylvania-steelworkers.jpg

The first national poll taken since the end of the Democratic National Convention has found Hillary Clinton leaping by 10 percentage points to a 15-point national lead.

Source: Hillary Clinton gains 10 points over Donald Trump in first poll after DNC 2016 | US elections | News | The Independent

Filed under:

Malcolm Turnbull’s popularity falls into negative territory in Newspoll | Australia news | The Guardian

Malcolm Turnbull and wife Lucy Turnbull watch in Sydney on Saturday.

Coalition leads Labor 51-49 on two-party preferred vote, but the voters’ satisfaction with the prime minister continues to slide after a series of setbacks

Source: Malcolm Turnbull’s popularity falls into negative territory in Newspoll | Australia news | The Guardian

A 50-50 Newspoll, but Coalition’s position better in other polls

This week we had a shock 50-50 Newspoll result, a 3% gain for Labor since the last Newspoll three weeks ago. However, other polling this week has been better for the Coalition. Here is this week’s poll…

Source: A 50-50 Newspoll, but Coalition’s position better in other polls

How ratings-driven presidential debates are weakening American democracy

Debates used to be a public service. Now they’re akin to the WWE – a blend of fiction and reality, with the candidates and networks all adhering to the same script.

Source: How ratings-driven presidential debates are weakening American democracy

Donald Trump’s polling lead means little at this stage, past data shows | US news | The Guardian

A look at polls from the past three presidential elections past offers little to excite the businessman: none of those leading in the polls this far ahead of the election ended up winning their party’s nomination

Source: Donald Trump’s polling lead means little at this stage, past data shows | US news | The Guardian