So, the advice is to:
- socially distance: that reduces the density of the population and limits the availability of new hosts;
- wear a mask: that reduces the ability of the virus to move between hosts;
- get tested and socially isolate if positive: that actively reduces the carrying capacity;
- and get vaccinated: that increases the number of people who have an immune system that can recognise and fight the virus and once again reduces carrying capacity.
I hope this helps to understand a little of the maths behind the management of the epidemic. It’s not guesswork The logistic equation can take much more complex forms and I’m certain that the modelling being used by decision-makers does just that, but the basic form of the equation is beautifully simple and clear. No magic required.
Source: Key to pandemic management is in the logistics
The weakness of the Australian Government is on full display in southwest Sydney this week, disguised as a show of force. The incapacity of NSW Premier Gladys Berejklian’s “gold standard” Government to contain the latest outbreak of COVID-19 has become a political liability for Prime Minister Scott Morrison. So, as has become standard in such situations, Morrison called in the army, offering 300 troops for what was described as a “crackdown” on compliance with COVID-19 regulations.
Source: Government reliance on army for lockdowns a weak move
A worrying coronavirus outbreak in a NSW aged care facility sparked by a Christmas in July event has ballooned out to 20 cases. The cluster at the Wyoming Residential Aged Care Facility in the Sydney suburb of Summer Hill included 18 residents and two staff members by Monday afternoon. Health Minister Brad Hazzard said the outbreak had been sparked by a super-spreader ‘Christmas in July’ event at the facility, which is owned by Hardi Aged Care and regulated by the federal government. “I understand that the actual numbers are believed to have occurred off a super-spreading event that occurred in the aged care facility,” Mr Hazzard said. “Sometimes it isn’t a good idea to have a ‘Christmas in July’ right in the middle of a pandemic, but I do understand that it is an effort to try and provide entertainment and support to residents.” Chief health officer Dr Kerry Chant said all of the infected residents lived on the top floor of the building. She said the entire floor, all 32 residents, had been taken to hospital either to be treated for the virus or as a precaution. “The reason for that is that some of them are obviously positive and others are close contacts of the positive c
Source: Christmas in July party sparks aged care cluster | The New Daily
Brushing his failed promises behind more promises in the meantime Australia and currently Sydney his pride and model of what was best practce is burning in his wake of ” new I’m gunna Australia promises ”
Vaccinated Australians will get special rules to avoid some lockdown restrictions once 70 per cent of the eligible adult population have had two vaccine doses, and international border rules will be loosened to allow more people to come home. Once the national vaccination total hits 80 per cent, broad lockdowns will not be used in major cities, caps on returning Australians will be abolished and all restrictions on vaccinated travellers leaving the country will be removed.
Source: Australia COVID: The vaccinated to avoid lockdown restrictions once 70% target hit
There’s one way out, by the way, if you’ve followed me closely. Give people money. No strings attached, no questions asked, now, on a large-scale, more or less permanently, forget how much needs to be borrowed to make it happen. So people can fund a working society again. Or else. That’s the big question for America. The rest is noise. Until something along those lines begins to take shape — my answer is simple: Americans made themselves too poor to now afford to have the luxury of a functioning, civilized, modern society. Or is all that a necessity?
via It’s Not that I’m Negative, America Really is Screwed
Our Politicians are far from leaders but followers. Albo leads from behind calling for a bipartisan plan to tackle Covid-19. However the decision to cancel the GP was made by “The FIA and Formula 1, with the full support of the Australian Grand Prix Corporation (AGPC) have therefore taken the decision that all Formula 1 activity for the Australian Grand Prix is cancelled.” It seems the LNP really only sees this as a political performance for Scotty from marketing. Event decisions are still left up to individual organisations. Meanwhile chaos and confusion reign. (ODT)
via Coronavirus forces closures around the world, markets react to Donald Trump address, live updates – ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
As studies have shown, this is a mirage of statistical deception, ignoring the obvious point that Australian emissions should count not merely those it produces directly, but those produced by fossil fuel exports that are subsequently used. Arms manufacturers are no less culpable ethically, or tangibly, if their weapons are used by citizens of one country or the other. Such a method is pure Morrison: keep up appearances before the incineration and hope that memories weaken in time.
How the Coalition Government has been ineffective in dealing with our fire crisis
Being attacked from all sides. Some attacks come from extremely untrusted parties like the IPA (ODT)
Of eight federal policies reviewed, four were deemed to have followed an “unacceptable” process, by failing to adhere to the basics of good public policy making, including: comparing the costs and benefits of alternative options, explaining how a decision would be rolled out and issuing a green and white paper for public consideration.
via Four Scott Morrison government policies slamm
reasons why this government has no mandate and does not deserve to exercise the control that it does. It and its predecessor governments over the last half dozen years have tripled Australia’s debt, yet have the gall to proclaim a surplus. Smoke and mirrors is its tactic.
Sadly, the growth of populism and the simplistic acceptance of selfish and discriminatory policies appeals to far too many Australians – and so this government was elected. Helped, of course, by smear campaigns against ALP candidates, lies about ALP intentions, and false advertising to capture the Chinese vote and that of others.
via ‘Profit before people’: the Government ideology – » The Australian Independent Media Network