How we measure and talk about unemployment matters. Yet many politicians, pundits and the public remain fixated on pure data, measured by a near 60-year-old International Labour Organisation standard – if you work for at least “one hour” a week you are “employed”.. Yet the idea that unemployment is 5 per cent and employment is equal to one hour’s work is laughable. Real fake news.
Any new definition of employment must be based on the ability of a citizen and her or his dependants to earn a “living wage”, not some outdated “minimum wage”. Rather, it should be a version of our nation’s famous 1907 Harvester judgment, that a “fair and reasonable” wage must take into account the “normal needs of the average employee regarded as a human being living in a civilised community”, crafted for this precariat age.
Our job statistics are broken. It’s time to #changethestats.
Just listen to Morrison Lie (ODT)
A post-statistical society is a potentially frightening proposition, not because it would lack any forms of truth or expertise altogether, but because it would drastically privatise them. Statistics are one of many pillars of liberalism, indeed of Enlightenment. The experts who produce and use them have become painted as arrogant and oblivious to the emotional and local dimensions of politics. No doubt there are ways in which data collection could be adapted to reflect lived experiences better. But the battle that will need to be waged in the long term is not between an elite-led politics of facts versus a populist politics of feeling. It is between those still committed to public knowledge and public argument and those who profit from the ongoing disintegration of those things.
“More often than not the questions are framed in a way that’s related to being repressive towards immigrants. It’s worth remembering that numbers have to be interpreted, and it’s also about what kind of political interest there are in using the stats, how those stats are read. Stats are in themselves neutral, they have to be interpreted,” he emphasizes.
“If you really want to deepen understanding in this area you have to consider what the stats are and also what they’re going to be used for. Are they going to be used to better locate people without residence papers, for example? To track down migrants and their kids? Or are they going to be used to improve how the police act, and to create a less discriminatory police? It’s very complicated, and more often than not the discussion in the area in Sweden is too simplistic,” he concludes.
Correcting Bolt’s BS is a full time task because there is so much of it (ODT)
Asylum applications in 2016 dropped to about 29,000.
Sweden used to grant permanent residence permits to individuals granted asylum. The legislative changes in mid 2016 began restricting residence authorization by granting temporary permits and putting more requirements in place for permanent permits.
What about claims linking new arrivals and crime?
“In general, crime statistics have gone down the last (few) years, and no there is no evidence to suggest that new waves of immigration has lead to increased crime,” Selin said.
Generally, there’s a certain over-representation of people with immigrant background in crime statistics, but that tends to be closely related to high levels of unemployment, poverty, exclusion, low language and other skills, Selin said. “Swedes with these characteristics are also overrepresented in crime statistics,” he said.
If we look specifically at sex offences, which the Fox News segment highlighted, there were 18,100 sex offenses reported to the police in 2015, down 11 percent from 2014, according to the Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention.
The 17-year-old has already been charged with resisting arrest, assaulting police, riotous behaviour and other assault related offences, she said.
How to raise the Stats a lesson in potential bias.
Here we have 3 plus plus charges laid against one boy how many more will be laid depends on the DPP Then there’s charges against the other two? The number could be as many as 20+.One thing is certain it raises the the question of biased crime rates in Tarneit for one, profiling another and even more their reality given the charges haven’t been proved but have been recorded. It then becomes so easy to skew the stats for the sake of politics if these lads were Sudanese because 20+ charges are recorded and added to a small base. If recidivists even more so and that’s political fodder for the likes of Matthew Guy and now Federal politicians like Turnbull Dutton and Hunt, In 2018 we will see the political fearmongering grow, Old Dog Thought)
When formulating our defence against terrorism, it is important to understand the motives of those who encourage such violence. The immediate aim is to cause fear. Despite you being much more likely to die at the hands of your partner, we have people like Pauline Hanson, Cory Bernardi, George Christensen and Sonia Kruger telling us…
“There were three gradations of inveracity – there were lies, there were damned lies, and there were statistics” (Arthur Balfour, 1892) You may have noticed that Abbott and other members of the front bench regularly throw around numbers and statistics to back up what they’re saying. Numbers and statistics are quantifiable, so when they are used, they…