I do believe Mark Sawyer underestimates the loathing all States have for Peter Dutton outside of Qld and then add Barnaby Joyce to the mix.

It might only take the Coalition adopting a new climate target to get back into the game. Dutton, who must know he’ll get only one election, will decide that winning is more important than pleasing the far right. And winning is something he does.

Source: The great conservative undead: don’t write off Dutton – Michael West