A Newspoll survey predicts a 10 per cent swing against the Abbott Government and the Sydney Morning Herald quoted a senior MP who says Abbott will go if Canning is lost.

The Sleepy Rural Electorate That Could Topple The PM

Latest Newspoll puts Coalition’s margin in the formerly safe seat held by Don Randall at just 51%-49% in two-party-preferred terms

Liberal MP Don Randall, who died of a heart attack in July, had a lead of almost 12%, but the latest Newspoll shows that margin has all but disappeared.

The poll, which surveyed 508 Canning voters last weekend and was published by the Australian, shows the government ahead by 51% to 49% in two-party-preferred terms. At the last federal election in 2013 it won with 61.8% to Labor’s 38.2%.