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Youth unemployment a key challenge as boomers retire

A Centrelink office in Melbourne

A new report highlights one of Australia’s greatest economic challenges: convincing employers to take on young people to replace retiring baby boomers.

The latest AMP NATSEM (National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling) report focuses on the labour market and the demographic challenges it faces.

Australia still performs fairly well on overall measures of labour market health – it is in the top third of OECD countries for low unemployment and has almost 53 per cent of the population employed, compared to an average of less than half.

However, Australia’s youth unemployment rate of 27.2 per cent is the highest since the 1990s, up from a low of 16.6 per cent just before the global financial crisis in 2008.

The proportion of young people (15-19) looking for work who cannot find it is now almost 4.5 times the general unemployment rate, only just off record highs.

Young people are almost three times as likely to work part time compared to those aged over 20, with more than three-quarters of those working doing so part time.

While that largely reflects the need to balance work and study for many young people, NATSEM’s Professor Robert Tanton said the high rate of joblessness and part-time work reflects the difficulties young people encounter in the current labour market.

“Young people are facing difficulties gaining employment due to changes in technology, tougher economic conditions and increasing requirements for qualifications, while older people are retiring and taking skills, experience and knowledge with them,” he said.

The report warns that Australia could be left with a shortage of skilled, experienced workers in a range of occupations unless employers start taking on younger staff to replace retiring baby boomers.

However, employment growth has been slow over recent years as many businesses wait to see a durable improvement in economic conditions and consumer confidence before investing in new equipment and staff.

China free trade deal could ‘turn into disaster’ without safeguards, Liberal senator Bill Heffernan says

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-11-11/heffernan-says-china-free-trade-deal-could-turn-into-disaster/5880966

A senior Liberal senator is warning a free trade deal with China could “turn into a disaster” for Australia if appropriate safeguards are not put in place.

In an exclusive interview with the ABC, Bill Heffernan raised the prospect of China cutting its tariffs, but then manipulating its currency to come out ahead.

“How do you really have a trade agreement with a country that won’t put their currency on the market? I mean we should learn from our free trade agreement with the US,” Senator Heffernan said.

“When we signed that agreement we were at 65 cents, when we enacted it the following February we were at 67 cents to the US.

“We did away with 5 per cent and 15 per cent tariffs and within a few years we found ourselves at a huge trade disadvantage because we had a 45 per cent currency tariff against us because we went parity with the US and above parity at one stage.”

The Government is hoping to seal a deal with Australia’s biggest trading partner when the Chinese president Xi Jinping visits Australia this weekend.

At the present time… it’s a non-market currency which makes it very difficult for us [to] manage good times, bad times, high interest rates, low interest rates

Senator Bill Heffernan

“Thanks to a lot of focus from Australia and from China over the last 12 months, I think it is very much on track for success in the next few days,” Prime Minister Tony Abbott told reporters in Beijing on Monday.

“Still a few things to finalise, but I think very much on track for success in the next few days.”

While welcoming a possible breakthrough, Mr Heffernan warned Australia could still be a loser because of China’s currency.

“At the present time… it’s a non-market currency which makes it very difficult for us [to] manage good times, bad times, high interest rates, low interest rates,” he said.

“In code, it really means we can’t win until the currency comes on the market.”

Audio: Australia must toughen its tax laws to benefit from free trade: Heffernan (AM)

The Federal Agriculture Minister Barnaby Joyce rejected concerns from his Coalition colleague that China’s fixed currency will negate any benefits of a free trade deal.

Senator Joyce said Australia needs to step up its trade with China so national debt can be paid off.

“If we don’t do a deal with China, if we don’t trade with what is now our major trading trading partner, then our capacity to pay our bills and re-float our economy after the disastrous episode of the previous government, is going to be impinged,” he said.

“We have to make sure that our soft commodities – such as wheat, such as beef, such as cotton, such as wool – start flowing in a more formidable form.”

Government sources have told the ABC a deal is looking likely, but some key issues are still being negotiated.

Mr Abbott said the pact was not perfect and could be changed.

“We are trying to build a house,” he said.

“Let’s build the first storey and then in a year or two we can build the second storey and maybe even a third storey, but let’s get things done and I very much hope that we will be able to say that we have got things done within a few days.”